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Climate of the Past An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Discussion papers
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2016-66
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2016-66
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 27 Jun 2016

Research article | 27 Jun 2016

Review status
This discussion paper is a preprint. It has been under review for the journal Climate of the Past (CP). The manuscript was not accepted for further review after discussion.

How sensitive are modeled contemporary subsea permafrost thaw and thickness of the methane clathrates stability zone in Eurasian Arctic to assumptions on Pleistocene glacial cycles?

Valentina V. Malakhova1 and Alexey V. Eliseev2,3 Valentina V. Malakhova and Alexey V. Eliseev
  • 1Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia
  • 2A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
  • 3Kazan Federal University, Kazan, Russia

Abstract. Single-point simulations with a model for thermal state of subsea sediments driven by the forcing constructed from the ice core data show that the impact of initial conditions is lost after ~100kyr. The time scales of temperature propagation in sediments and respective permafrost response are ~10–20kyr which is longer than the present interglacial. The timings of shelf exposure during oceanic regressions and flooding during transgressions are important for representation of sediment thermal state and hydrates stability zone (HSZ). These timings should depend on the contemporary shelf depth (SD). During glacial cycles temperature at the top of sediments is a major driver of HSZ vertical boundaries change for SD of few tens of meters, while the pressure exerted by oceanic water becomes more important for larger SD. Thus, even the existence of HSZ and its disappearance might not be easily tied to oceanic transgressions and regressions.

Valentina V. Malakhova and Alexey V. Eliseev
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Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
Valentina V. Malakhova and Alexey V. Eliseev
Valentina V. Malakhova and Alexey V. Eliseev
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