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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">CPD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Climate of the Past Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">CPD</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1814-9359</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/cpd-8-787-2012</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Madagascar corals reveal Pacific multidecadal modulation of rainfall since 1708</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Grove</surname>
<given-names>C. A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zinke</surname>
<given-names>J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Peeters</surname>
<given-names>F.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Park</surname>
<given-names>W.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Scheufen</surname>
<given-names>T.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kasper</surname>
<given-names>S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Randriamanantsoa</surname>
<given-names>B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McCulloch</surname>
<given-names>M. T.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Brummer</surname>
<given-names>G.-J. A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Department of Marine Geology, P.O. Box 59, 1790 AB Den Burg, Texel, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>The University of Western Australia and Oceans Institute, School of Earth and Environment, M004, Crawley, Western Australia 6009, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel (GEOMAR), Duesternbrooker Weg 20, 24105 Kiel, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>University of Amsterdam, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED), Nieuwe Achtergracht 127, 1018 WS Amsterdam, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS), B.P 8500 Soavimbahoaka, Antananarivo 101, Madagascar</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>The University of Western Australia, School of Earth and Environment, M004 and ARC Centre of Excellence in Coral Studies, Crawley, Western Australia 6009, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>now at: Unidad Académica de Sistemas Arrecifales, Instituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México,  Apdo. Postal 1152, Cancún, Quintana Roo 77500, Mexico</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>12</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2012</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>8</volume>
<issue>2</issue>
<fpage>787</fpage>
<lpage>817</lpage>
<permissions>
<license xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
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<abstract>
<p>The Pacific Ocean modulates Australian and North American rainfall
      variability on multidecadal timescales, in concert with the Pacific
      Decadal Oscillation (PDO). It has been suggested that Pacific decadal
      variability may also influence Indian Ocean surface temperature and
      rainfall in a far-field response, similar to the El Niño Southern
      Oscillation (ENSO) on interannual timescales. However, instrumental
      records of rainfall are too short and too sparse to confidently assess
      such multidecadal climatic teleconnections. Here, we present four
      climate archives spanning the past 300 yr from giant
      Madagascar corals. We decouple 20th century human deforestation
      effects from rainfall induced soil erosion using spectral luminescence
      scanning and geochemistry. The corals provide the first evidence for
      Pacific decadal modulation of rainfall over the Western Indian
      Ocean. We find that positive PDO phases are associated with increased
      Indian Ocean temperatures and rainfall in Eastern Madagascar, while
      precipitation in Southern Africa and Eastern Australia
      declines. Consequently, the negative PDO phase that started in 1998
      should lead to reduced rainfall over Eastern Madagascar and increased
      precipitation in Southern Africa and Eastern Australia. We conclude
      that the PDO has important implications for future multidecadal
      variability of African rainfall, where water resource management is
      increasingly important under the warming climate.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="31"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
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