<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" standalone="no"?>
<!DOCTYPE article SYSTEM "http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/inc/cpd/copernicus.dtd">
<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Climate of the Past Discussions</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.clim-past-discuss.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1814-9340</issn>
		<eissn>1814-9359</eissn>
		<volume_number>2</volume_number>
		<issue_number>6</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2006</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/cpd-2-1277-2006</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/2/1277/2006/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/2/1277/2006/cpd-2-1277-2006.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/2/1277/2006/cpd-2-1277-2006.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>1277</start_page>
	<end_page>1292</end_page>
	<publication_date>2006-12-12</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">The DO-climate events are noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>P. D. Ditlevsen</name>
			<email>pditlev@gfy.ku.dk</email>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="1">
			<name>K. K. Andersen</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="3" affiliations="1">
			<name>A. Svensson</name>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">The Niels Bohr Institute, Department of Geophysics, University of Copenhagen, Juliane Maries Vej 30, 2100 Copenhagen O, Denmark</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">The significance of the apparent 1470 years cycle in the recurrence of
the Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events, observed in the Greenland ice cores,
is debated. Here we present statistical significance
tests of this periodicity.
The detection of a periodicity relies strongly on the accuracy of the
dating of the DO events. Here we use both the new NGRIP GICC05 time scale based
on multi-parameter annual layer counting and the GISP2 time scale where
the periodicity is most pronounced. For the NGRIP dating the recurrence
times are indistinguishable from a random occurrence. This is also the
case for the GISP2 dating, except in the case where the DO9 event is
omitted from the record.
Whether or not the record shows
a truly periodic beating has strong implications for identifying the
underlying cause. If the recurrence is periodic it suggests
an external cause.
If the recurrence of
DO events is not periodic it points to triggering mechanisms internal
to the climate system being manifested at the millennial timescale.</abstract>
	<references>
		<reference numeration="1" content_type="text"> Alley, R B., Shuman, C A., Meese, D A., Gow, A J., Taylor, K C., Cuffey, K M., Fitzpatrick, J J., Grootes, P M., Zielinski, G A., Ram, M., Spinelli, G., and Elder, B.: Visual-stratigraphic dating of the GISP2 ice core: Basis, reproducibility and application, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 26 367&amp;ndash;26 381, 1997. </reference>
		<reference numeration="2" content_type="text"> Alley, R B., Anandakrishnan, S., and Jung, P.: Stochastic resonance in the North Atlantic, Paleoceanography, 16, 190&amp;ndash;198, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="3" content_type="text"> Andersen, K K., Svensson, A., Rasmussen, S O., Steffensen, J P., Johnsen, S., Bigler, M., Röthlisberger, R., Ruth, U., Siggaard-Andersen, M.-L., Dahl-Jensen, D., Vinter, B M., and Clausen, H B.: The Greenland Ice Core Chronology 2005, 15&amp;ndash;42 ka. Part 1: Construction of the time scale, QSR Shackleton special edition, in press, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.08.002, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="4" content_type="text"> Benzi, R., Parisi, G., Sutera, A., and Vulpiani, A.: Stochasic resonance in climate change, Tellus, 34, 10&amp;ndash;16, 1982. </reference>
		<reference numeration="5" content_type="text"> Braun, H., Christi, M., Rahmstorf, S., Ganopolski, A., Mangini, A., Kubatski, C., Roth, K., and Kromer, B.: Possible solar origin of the 1,470-year glacial climate cycle demonstrated in a coupled model, Nature, 438, 208&amp;ndash;211, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="6" content_type="text"> Dansgaard, W., Johnsen, S J., Clausen, H B., Dahl-Jensen, D., Gundestrup, N S., Hammer, C U., Hvidberg, C S., Steffensen, J P., Sveinbjornsdottir, A E., Jouzel, J., and Bond, G.: Evidence for general instability of past climate from a 250-kyr ice-core record, Nature, 364, 218&amp;ndash;220, 1993. </reference>
		<reference numeration="7" content_type="text"> Ditlevsen, P D., Kristensen, M S., and Andersen, K K.: The recurrence time of Dansgaard-Oeschger events and limits on the possible periodic component, J. Climate, 18, 2594&amp;ndash;2603, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="8" content_type="text"> Grootes, P M. and Stuiver, M.: Oxygen 18/16 variability in Greenland snow and ice with $10^-3$- to $10^5$-year time resolution, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 26 455&amp;ndash;26 470, 1997. </reference>
		<reference numeration="9" content_type="text"> Huybers, P. and Wunsch, C.: Obliquity pacing of the late Pleistocene glacial terminations, Nature, 434, 491&amp;ndash;494, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="10" content_type="text"> Johnsen, S J., Dahl-Jensen, D., Gundestrup, N., Steffensen, J P., Clausen, H B., Miller, H., Masson-Delmotte, V., Sveinbjørnsdottir, A E., and White, J.: Oxygen isotope and palaeotemperature records from six Greenland ice-core stations: Camp Century, Dye-3, GRIP, GISP2, Renland and NorthGRIP, J. Quat. Sci., 16, 299&amp;ndash;307, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="11" content_type="text"> Meese, D A., Gow, A J., Alley, R B., Zielinski, G A., Grootes, P M., Ram, M., Taylor, K C., Mayewski, P A., and Bolzan, J F.: The Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 depth-age scale: Methods and results, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 26 411&amp;ndash;26 423, 1997. </reference>
		<reference numeration="12" content_type="text"> Muscheler, R. and Beer, J.: Solar forced Dansgaard/Oeschger events?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L20706, doi:10.1029/2006GL026779, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="13" content_type="text"> North GRIP members: High resolution Climate Record of the Northern Hemisphere reaching into the last Glacial Interglacial Period, Nature, 431, 147&amp;ndash;151, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="14" content_type="text"> Rahmstorf, S.: Timing of abrupt climate changes: A precise clock, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1510&amp;ndash;1514, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="15" content_type="text"> Schulz, M.: On the 1470-year pacing of Dansgaard-Oeschger warm events, Paleoceanography, 17, doi:1029/200PA000571, 2002. </reference>
		<reference numeration="16" content_type="text"> Svensson, A., Andersen, K K., Bigler, M., Clausen, H B., Dahl-Jensen, D., Johnsen, S., Muscheler, R., Rasmussen, S O., Röthlisberger, R., Steffensen, J P., and Vinter, B M.: The Greenland Ice Core Chronology 2005, 15&amp;ndash;42 ka. Part 2: Comparison to other records, QSR Shackleton special edition, in press, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.08.003, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="17" content_type="text"> Wunsch, C.: On sharp spectral lines in the climate record and the millennial peak, Paleoceanography, 15, 417&amp;ndash;424, 2000. </reference>
	</references>
</article>

